Political prediction markets: 'Something worse than polling'

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Stephanie Ruhle sits down with Yale University’s Jeffrey Sonnenfeld to discuss the political betting markets and where corporate …

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43 comments

@thatdudebase April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Watching this the day after just to see what ppl generally think about prediction markets…

@cosmiccowboy7764 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Ha ha ha ha ha ha msnbc are LOSERS

@Georgggg April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Who's "somewhat worse" now? 😂

@happy543210 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Don't worry, the Democrats are really good at stealing an election! They got plenty of practice 4 years ago.

@galesams4205 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

This demorat is full of it. His boss is in china, and wants communisum like harris.

@brucecook7413 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Pure communist propaganda. I hope NBC loses their license for trying to influence the election.

@sanmoratalla April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

You took predictions on your convenience

@hobbithole7481 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

THE BETTING SITES HAVE TRUPM WINNING AT A LARGE SPREAD

@Mark-xh5nk April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Bro, just be bald!

@boughtandpaidforautoreviews April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Why do we need to listen to ceos? Global interests have them all compromised while middle class turns poor with a powerball like chance of ever having a successful business. CEOs care for themselves then shareholders, not employees nor people in general.

@unfortunately969 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

These people here are poor. They just super fake. Listen to the woman you can tell her she’s fake but fake news. I don’t know how they can keep these shows on TV. They need a reality me because they need to keep their job and say what they need to say with the fake news they write number one the only one side anyway

@boughtandpaidforautoreviews April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

The economist is invested in a propped up bubble that they can’t afford to let burst. The consequences of a Trump presidency is stocks tank and they will abandon a free market to protect their money.

@boughtandpaidforautoreviews April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

What is Bro Culture? Is this a journalistic term?

@eseofepe3856 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

They go to prison for him.
They lose their money for him.
They insist they are not in a cult.
Les pauvres

@nallaxueimel5332 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

After listening to this, I have realized I’ve been wrong for a very long time. “ dumb people are not a figment of my imagination, they do exist (The men who wear ladies underpants, and the women who support them are going to be very sad on November 5th.)😮🎉❤

@tungsten06gt23 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Things I can't stabs m stand: MSNBC, CNN, Harris, Walz, and all you crazy radical leftist.

@BobUtter-u9x April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

TRUMP 2024 a vote for Democracy!!!!!!!!!!!

@BausNguyen April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

The betting market is a way better indicator then polling. People can lie on polling. Betting market is real money. Lets just say polymarket is based. Several other legitimate sports books have trump as a favorite to win the election. Most books have it at -175 for trump to win some even as high as -200. People don’t play around when it comes to money

@blossomlizard April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

They can troll, Russian and maga, but Kamala done won this. La hu sa hurs. 🎉

@ThePaterfamilious April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

It's going to be the POLLING PLACE Polls that count the Registered GOP Voters flipping to the Democratic Votes giving a ratio of 2 votes for 1 cast… 1 republican Vote flipping also takes away a vote for Trump… That isn't being reflected in the numbers reported from the States about turn out at the Polling Places!!!

@BarkerT April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Professional punters manipulate the market all the time, and lure the rubes into making the wrong bet. Then they swoop in and get better odds for themselves. Trump is around 4/7, which is way shorter than Polls and early voting suggest. Harris is good odds for a bet at 7/4. Watch her price shorten in the last few days as the smart money comes in.

@fdasdf455555 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Sounds like a Republican dating site is Grinder 2.0

@sadiahhoque2218 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

My family just voted for Jill Stein 💚 so Green Party can get 5% of the popular vote and receive federal & state funding. Break the red/blue duopoly

@AllTheBestCO April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Vote Harris-Walz 2024 🇺🇸

@jeffsteele1295 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

The only garbage I see is supporters

The only garbage I see is supporter's

THIS IS A ANOTHER LIE BY HE (KAMALA ADMINISTRATION) !

REPORTED TODAY ! NEW JOB'S falls 118,000 from expected amount ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

FACT ! ! ! !

@JamesJohnson-sl3ui April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Her glasses scream left wing nut job.

@StevenRedcay-gw5ci April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Why does Harris know more about Trump's plan than she knows about her own . You won't here about her plan because she has none ! ! !

@paulsnow April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Betting markets have a better track record than polls. Because people are putting their money on the line, and it is collecting the wisdom of the masses. They can be wrong, but that doesn't mean they are less accurate.

@TurboMalibuV6 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Are you better off now, then you were 4 years ago?

@nickandelizabethkousiakis543 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

MSNBC=FKE NEWS😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

@Joseph-v5u7w April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Yeah we see how it is MSNBC, you only start talking about the reliability of the Polling sites "after" Trump start pulling ahead. Typical!

@ArcherLium April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Notice the only reason they are covering this is because trump is leading in the polls lol. «Quick, discredit the polls! Dont let them see trump leading». Biased fake news

@muffmuncher9050 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

We're not anti imagination, we're anti illegal immigration

@robertczerwiec3898 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Only Kamala Harris for president!!!💙💙💙💙💙💙💙🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊

@stephanieballesteros620 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Trump will “again” be your President in 24. You’re welcome in advance. 🇺🇸💯‼️

@Paul-lm5gv April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

MY COLLEGE ROOMMATE DIED IN VIETNAM! HE WAS 21. HE WAS DRAFTED AND SENT THERE BY A DEMOCRAT PRESIDENT! Mothers of teenaged boys 17,18 and 19 should be scared to death that Biden-Harris' weak foreign policy gets us into a war and they have to reinstate the draft! When you see N. Korean troops sent to Ukraine to fight for Russia – be worried! U.S. military recruitment is down! The Navy is mothballing ships bec. they don’t have enough sailors! BUT TRUMP DOES NOT WANT TO SEND YOUR BOYS OFF TO WAR!

@Paul-lm5gv April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

MY COLLEGE ROOMMATE DIED IN VIETNAM! HE WAS 21. HE WAS DRAFTED AND SENT THERE BY A DEMOCRAT PRESIDENT! Mothers of teenaged boys 17,18 and 19 should be scared to death that Biden-Harris' weak foreign policy gets us into a war and they have to reinstate the draft! When you see N. Korean troops sent to Ukraine to fight for Russia – be worried! U.S. military recruitment is down! The Navy is mothballing ships bec. they don’t have enough sailors! BUT TRUMP DOES NOT WANT TO SEND YOUR BOYS OFF TO WAR!

@ronaldmurray7746 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Can't believe how many stupid people there are who think Trump is normal, he's totally insane

@johnward43 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Puerto Rican women for Trump! 🇵🇷

@lynnrunningdeerB4 April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

They're about to get a rude awakening just like 2020, 2022. Look how that turned out, they're still sitting on their couches fudging their numbers😅.

@Tavat April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

It’s just tweaking the polls to help Trump’s “election fraud” narrative.

@PSLLP April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

Woke failing MSNBC lol TRUMP 24’ Losers 🇺🇸

@thejanglezclan April 18, 2025 - 7:45 am

NOBODY thought Romney was gonna win🤣

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